Do certain weather conditions lead to more home runs?

Yes! Weather conditions change the distance a batted ball travels by more than 20%. Home Run Forecast provides a simple indication of how weather will help or hinder baseball flight during a game. The HRFI demonstrates a strong correlation with HRs hit and runs scored in big league games. Check out our Premium Subscription for on-demand forecast data by team and game.

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Current Weather Conditions and HRF Index

The table below shows the Home Run Forecast Index (HRFI) value for each big league ballpark. The HRFI ranges from 1 to 10, with 10 indicating the most favorable weather conditions for ball fight and 1 indicating least favorable. Learn more about how we calculate this index here.

This data is updated hourly at the top of the hour. For ballparks with a retractable roof, the index is calculated for open roof conditions. Check local sources for roof status. For ballparks with a permanent roof, the index is calculated for indoor conditions.

Ballpark LocationSky CoverTemperature (°F)Home Run Forecast Index™
Arlington, TXovercast clouds9710
Atlanta, GAbroken clouds8910
Baltimore, MDmoderate rain8610
Cincinnati, OHbroken clouds9010
Denver, COclear sky9210
Houston, TXbroken clouds9310
Las Vegas, NVclear sky9410
Phoenix, AZclear sky9910
St. Louis, MOovercast clouds8610
Tampa, FLbroken clouds8510
Washington, DCbroken clouds8710
Williamsport, PAbroken clouds828
Anaheim, CAclear sky808
Bronx, NYscattered clouds768
Chicago (AL), ILovercast clouds698
Detroit, MIscattered clouds818
Los Angeles, CAclear sky818
Minneapolis, MNclear sky698
Philadelphia, PAscattered clouds828
Pittsburgh, PAbroken clouds848
San Diego, CAclear sky808
San Francisco, CAclear sky688
Toronto, ONovercast clouds818
Cleveland, OHfew clouds817
Queens, NYscattered clouds777
Sacramento, CAclear sky717
Kansas City, MOovercast clouds766
Milwaukee, WIovercast clouds606
Boston, MAmoderate rain675
Seattle, WAovercast clouds575
Tampa Bay, FLbroken clouds845
Miami, FLlight rain844
Chicago (NL), ILmoderate rain693
Data last updated: 1789328463
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